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An interesting revisit. I wonder whether there is another dynamic around prediction 3. I have been thinking about the dynamics of your pub (I often use a BBQ analogy). My experience is that the 'moderators' of extremes rarely intervene, and do so to prevent violence rather than 'balance' the views of others. In the case of X, the question for me is whether the moderators are attending but being quiet or they are choosing not to attend. If the latter, the public square idea is destined to fail.

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